4.0

Lead it

Vision turns trust into influence.

In 2026, leadership means more than direction, it means setting the tone for how organizations show up in the world. This section focuses on how bold ideas, clear values, and cultural foresight position brands to inspire, unify, and shape the future.

Going local to connect nationally

4.1

In 2026, brands face a uniquely Canadian challenge: how to build national cohesion through local connection. In a country as vast and culturally diverse as Canada, local relevance has become a brand’s most powerful differentiator. Resonance doesn’t come from volume; it comes from precision. The brands that stand out will think nationally but connect locally, rooted in the topics, realities, and identities that matter most to the communities they serve.

Across the country, patriotism is shaping new behaviours—buying local, supporting Canadian-made products, celebrating local talents and rallying behind national teams like the Blue Jays or Team Canada—particularly amid unprecedented trade tensions. These shifts are redefining how Canadians engage with brands. Far from fleeting trends, they reflect a deeper cultural movement toward national pride, identity, and even resilience.

With the Winter Olympics and the FIFA World Cup on the horizon, Canadians will have even more opportunities to unite through sport and shared pride. This is the moment for brands to step in: to elevate hometown heroes, celebrate regional stories, and partner with communities in authentic and meaningful ways.

This year, brands that listen locally and act with intent won’t just join the national conversation—they’ll help shape how Canadians see themselves within it.

Can Canada lead without investing abroad?

4.2

One emerging geopolitical and trade trend to watch in 2026 is Canada’s shifting global strategy as aid retreats and new markets rise. As major donors retreat from global aid, Canada is charting a new economic course.

Washington has rejected the UN Sustainable Development Goals, dismantled USAID and rescinded billions in foreign assistance. The United Kingdom, France and Germany have also cut their programmes. This pullback has created a soft power vacuum and heightened global instability.

Canada’s 2025 budget acknowledges the turbulence. In response to U.S. tariffs and rising geopolitical tensions, Prime Minister Mark Carney has set a goal of doubling Canada’s non-U.S. exports over the next decade. To achieve it, the government is expanding trade ties across the Indo-Pacific.

Diversifying trade is a sound strategy. However, Ottawa’s plan to cut $2.7 billion from its International Assistance Envelope could work against that ambition. The savings may be short-term, but the long-term cost is diminished influence and credibility. As Cooperation Canada notes, the cuts risk deepening the vacuum left by others. Development aid is an investment in stability, human rights, and shared growth.

Well-targeted aid strengthens future partnerships, supports democracy, and builds Canada’s reputation both abroad and at home.

The new infrastructure supercycle

4.3

Canada is entering a new infrastructure supercycle. A wave of public and private investment is expanding infrastructure beyond roads and bridges to include energy corridors: electricity grids, interprovincial pipelines, ports, as well as energy and carbon storage. These projects aim to drive decarbonization and connect landlocked energy resources to global markets. For example, new liquefied natural gas facilities.

Federal Budget 2025 commits about $280 billion over five years and streamlines regulatory approvals to fast-track projects with provinces, local governments, and Indigenous partners. The goal is to clear hurdles that stalled past infrastructure and to give private capital the confidence to invest. After multiple high-profile cancellations, clear timelines, regulatory predictability, and government backing (including risk-sharing) are needed to bring investors back.

For companies, the core communications mandate and challenge is to connect megaprojects to everyday value: affordable energy, good jobs, community prosperity, and economic sovereignty. That means crafting a narrative linking procurement and construction to credible environmental plans, early Indigenous and local partnerships, and visible local benefits. In this supercycle, the winners will not just build faster; they will explain better; backing up promises with transparency and showing benefits early. Only by demonstrating real value and honouring commitments from the start can developers secure the social license to keep projects moving.

Squaring Canada’s defence spending circle

4.4

There is perhaps no other single commitment that serves to illustrate the ambition of the Carney Government’s agenda than national defence. A staggering $80B has been set aside. A new international spending commitment to NATO is in place. And the multiple related priorities—including securing our arctic sovereignty, bolstering Canada’s domestic manufacturing and supply chains, and purchasing new defence equipment—are all behemoth tasks on their own. With the establishment of a new Defence Investment Agency, and a Prime Minister who is seeking to deliver results at a rapid pace, the pressure across cabinet and the public service is immense moving into 2026.

The government’s new defence strategy is expected soon, and it will create the framework for the coming decade and beyond for Canada, including how to establish a clear link between defence spending and domestic job creation. Simply put, it’s a colossal political bet, particularly as Canadians still cite affordability as one of their top concerns. The government will look to thread the needle on both fronts, and the success of the initiative will have repercussions for Canada’s economic future—and the government’s political prospects in the new year and beyond. 

Uncertainty must be transformed into momentum: The Quebec general election

4.5

With nine months to go before the election, Quebec is going through a period of rare uncertainty. It is still unclear who will be at the head of the Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) or who will lead the Quebec Liberal Party (QLP). Many see this as a repeat of the pre-election uncertainty that prevailed at the federal level in 2025.

At the CAQ, the expulsion of members of the National Assembly and the dramatic resignations of ministers are keeping the party in crisis management mode. While banking on more right-wing governance and a less bureaucratic state to win back voters, the CAQ is slow to shift into election mode. Several members of the National Assembly have already announced that they will not be running for re-election.

The QLP is embarking on its second leadership race in less than a year. Pablo Rodriguez’s successor will be announced on 14 March and will have only a few months to restore the party’s image and make it a credible option.

The Parti Québécois (PQ) has been leading in the polls for more than two years, while maintaining its promise of a referendum on sovereignty. However, this idea is less popular than the party itself.

Québec solidaire (QS)seems mired in an identity crisis as Manon Massé and Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois bid farewell to provincial politics.

The Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ), meanwhile, is well into pre-election mode. Éric Duhaime is announcing candidates, determined to make his way into the National Assembly.

In short, with just a few months to go before the election, most parties are slow to join the fray. The party that wins the 5 October election will not be the one that ran the best campaign, but the one that managed to build momentum.